Oregon Losing Millions in Tax Revenue as Fewer Washington Workers Commute to Portland’s Weakening Job Market

As the allure of the Portland job market continues to fade, Oregon is losing tax revenue paid by neighboring Washington state’s Clark County residents who cross the Columbia River daily in their work commute.

 

Washington State Residents Pay Oregon More Than $250 Million in Income Tax

Oregon collects in excess of $250 million from Clark County residents who pay more income tax to the Beaver State than the combined residents of 31 of Oregon’s 36 counties.

The number of Clark County commuters has dwindled by 8% since 2019, and by 2023, dropped from 79,000 to 72,000.

Tidings Data Snapshot
Clark County Tax Flow To Oregon
78,660
Clark County filers paying Oregon tax in 2019
71,550
Clark County filers paying Oregon tax in 2023
$251.1M
Oregon tax liability from Clark County filers in 2019
$250.0M
Oregon tax liability from Clark County filers in 2023
$49.1K
Average AGI per return in 2019
$51.9K
Average AGI per return in 2023

Source: Oregon Department of Revenue personal income tax statistics for tax years 2019 and 2023
Dailytidings.com

The reason for the reduced influx of out-of-state workers is attributed to remote work and job location by Chris Allanbach, the head of the state’s Legislative Revenue Office.

His reasoning is reinforced by the fact that Oregon is the second-highest state employing the most remote workers, a scenario that has grown exponentially since the COVID pandemic.

 

Portland Has Never Fully Recovered From the Impacts of the Pandemic

As the number of Clark County workers shrinks, so does Portland’s deteriorating job market. The city has one of the slowest job market growths in the nation, and has never fully recovered from the pandemic.

However, while fewer people may be crossing the Columbia River, those who do earn more. According to data, Clark County residents earned $3.8 billion in 2023, an average of $53,000 each. That figure is substantially more than the 2019 earnings of $49,000 per person.

While Oregon is losing a quiet stream of outside tax revenue as Portland becomes less attractive for commuters from Clark County, the decline is not too substantial. Clark County residents contribute only 2% of the state’s income taxes.

 

The Irony is a Reversal of Fortunes for Oregon

The irony is that Oregon now finds that instead of workers crossing the Columbia River to work in Portland, Beaver State residents are crossing the river to work in Clark County.

MeasureFigureWhy it matters
Portland region jobs in 2025Down 8,800The region ranked fourth worst nationally for job change last year
Clark County jobs / 2015 to 2025Up 39,000 / 26%That is the regional growth story pulling jobs north of the river
Clark County employment vs 2020114% of 2020 levelClark County has moved beyond its pre pandemic baseline
Portland multifamily pipeline / 2025656 unitsLowest since 2011, signaling weaker future growth capacity
Regional multifamily permit shareClark County 57% / Portland 29%Development momentum has shifted across the river too

 

Clark County has experienced a recent significant job boom resulting from rapid population growth, which has transformed it from a Portland “bedroom community” into a regional business hub.

Its added attraction is the unique tax advantages on offer. There is no personal or corporate tax payable in Washington, resulting in the addition of 39,000 jobs between 2015 and 2025, representing a 26% increase.

In contrast, Portland continues to lose its share of the job market, with 8,800 posts lost in 2025, ranking the city as the 4th worst nationwide.

The decline is driven by high local taxes, safety concerns, and high housing costs.

Morning Brief Newsletter
Sign up today for our daily newsletter, a quick overview of top local stories and Oregon breaking news delivered straight to your inbox.
You can unsubscribe at any time. We do not share your information with third parties, and we will only send our daily newsletter.
Leave A Reply

Your email address will not be published.